
How Much Should You Invest In 401k – One of the most common questions readers ask me is: Should I max out my 401(k)?
While I’m not a big fan of maxing out your 401(k), especially for young, aggressive savers, there is some evidence that maxing out early in the year can provide some benefit over maxing out at the end of the year. Why is this true?
How Much Should You Invest In 401k
Because markets tend to rise. And since markets tend to rise, there is a slight advantage to getting your money into the market sooner rather than later. Of course, over a one-year period, the difference between making all your contributions in January (“Max Early”) and making contributions throughout the year (“Average-In”) will be quite small, even when invest in 100% US. stock portfolio
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The difference between the maximum forward and average entry into a 100% US equity portfolio over one year was 13%-15%. This means that for a $20,000 contribution, choosing one strategy over the other could have netted you as much as $2,000-$3,000. But this is only in the most extreme years.
Typically, the amount of outperformance you get by following one of these strategies for a year is less than $1,000 or about 5% of total contributions. If you look at the distribution of how much Max Early beats the infield average over each 1-year period since 1978, you can see this more clearly:
As you can see, this distribution is somewhat symmetrical, meaning that in some years Max Early outperforms and in some years Average-In outperforms. You can see this by looking at the dashed $0 line in the plot above.
The $0 line can be considered as the dividing line between which the strategy works best. And since there is more dough in the
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From the $0 line, it implies that Max Early has a slight lead over the Average-In in every 1-year period since 1978. To be more precise, the Max Early strategy exceeds $700 in one year normal
Bottom line: If you’re deciding whether to max out your 401(k) before one year, it really doesn’t matter what you do. Yes, the early stat max should provide a slight advantage, but that advantage isn’t that big in the grand scheme of things. So when you max out your 401(k) at the beginning of the year
. While one year won’t change your financial plan, data suggests that doing so over many years can have a considerable impact.
For example, imagine that we compare the Max Early strategy and the Average-In strategy for 10 years in a row. So every year (for 10 years) Max Early would bring in $20,000 in January, while Average-In would bring in $1,667 every month for 12 months.
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After running this simulation and comparing the performance of these two strategies for each 10-year period since 1978, there is a clear winner:
As you can see, in a 10 year time frame Max Early really pays off. In absolute terms, the typical performance difference is $11,500
Of Max Early or around 4%-5% of total contributions. In the grand scheme of things, that’s still not a lot of money, but it’s not negligible either.
After examining both the 10-year and 1-year simulations, a pattern emerges: the typical outperformance of Max Early over Average-In is about 5% of total contributions. This is a rough approximation of what you should expect if you follow this strategy for any number of years.
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So if you were to max out your 401(k) at the beginning of the year for 20 years (with an annual contribution of $20,000), you should expect to have 5% more than if you didn’t do it earlier. With $400,000 in contributions (over 20 years), that means an extra $20,000. I ran the numbers as a sanity check and Max Early’s average return for each 20-year period since 1978 was $22,000 (just over 5% of total contributions).
While it is good for empirical evidence to match theory, we have not addressed the elephant in the room; Is this strategy even feasible?
While maxing out your 401(k) early in the year could provide some benefit, the number of households that could easily do so is quite small. Because? Because maxing out your 401(k) in the first month of the year would require $20,500 in contributions in 2 paychecks. This means that this strategy is limited to someone who does

Of course, if you earn less than that, you could still top out in the first two or three months of the year, but the profit would be less than the 5% highlighted above. However, just because this strategy isn’t feasible for most people with a 401(k), that doesn’t mean it isn’t feasible for
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For example, if you maxed out your Roth IRA by contributing $6,000 in January instead of throughout the year, your expected benefit would be about $300 (5% of $6,000) in a typical year. Yes, $300 isn’t a lot, but do it every year and it can add up over time.
Whether or not you decide to max out one of your retirement accounts at the beginning of the year is up to you. While I don’t see a huge benefit in doing this, if you’re someone who needs every extra dollar you can get, then max hour should help.
This is especially true if the maximum is achieved for many years in a row. As the charts above illustrate, the longer you follow the Max Early strategy, the greater the probability of absolute outperformance.
[Author’s Note: Many people have told me that many 401(k) plans will NOT match your contributions for the rest of the year (ie no real provision) if you decide to max out early. If this is the case, you will probably lose more money by not getting your full match than you gain by being in the market earlier in time. Ask your employer before maxing out early as this could end
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Either way, don’t stress over this decision. The benefit of doing so is not worth the mental cost. That said, happy investing and thanks for reading!
This is post 278. Any code I have related to this post can be found here under the same numbering: https://github.com/nmaggiulli/of-dollars-and-data
Each month you will receive 3-4 book suggestions, hand-picked from over 1,000 books. You will also receive an extensive curriculum (books, articles, articles, videos) in PDF format right away. Whenever he goes to a restaurant, he orders the most expensive item on the menu. If you’re going on vacation, you’re booking the fanciest hotel you can find. There is no stopping halfway!
What if you took this holistic approach to your retirement savings? Is it worth it or even realistic to max out your 401(k) every year?
The Ultimate Roth 401(k) Guide
The truth is that maximizing contributions to a 401(k) plan isn’t the right choice for everyone. But if you’re at a certain point in your financial journey where you can put more money into your retirement future, it could be a game changer.
OK, here’s a quick summary: 401(k)s are employer-sponsored retirement plans that make it easy for employees to save for retirement. They’re a great way to save for retirement because they come with special tax benefits and most employers offer a company match with your contributions (which is free money).
When you put money into a traditional 401(k), those contributions reduce your taxable income for the year, meaning you’ll pay less in taxes that year. But there’s a catch: You’ll have to pay taxes on your withdrawals when you take your money out in retirement. You’re basically throwing your tax bill down the road.
Roth 401(k)s are an entirely different beast when it comes to taxes anyway. You will not get a tax break on your contributions to the account because you are funding the account
K): How Much Of Your Paycheck Would Allow You To Max Out?
(Side note: If you have a business partnership, employer contributions go into a separate pre-tax account. This means you’ll pay tax on the money and its growth when you withdraw the money in retirement. If you want tax-free growth as well as withdrawals on that money, you’ll need to make a Roth transfer to the plan each year and pay taxes on any amount you transfer.)
By 2023, you can put up to $22,500 into your workplace retirement plan (and an additional $7,500 if you’re over 50 and need to catch up).
To maximize your 401(k) to build a solid nest egg. Let’s talk a little more about when it makes sense to max out your 401(k). . . and when it doesn’t.
Maxing out your 401(k) has some pretty clear benefits, especially if you want to grow your nest egg faster or if you’ve fallen behind on your retirement savings goals.
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More than anything else, studies have shown that the best indicator of retirement success is your savings rate.
Money for retirement. And the more you save, the more likely you are to have enough money to retire with dignity and even leave a lasting legacy for your family.
That means maxing out your 401(k) contributions is a Shaquille O’Neal-level slam dunk
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